Here is the lastest poll by Research 2000 for Daily Kos. Compare to the September poll results here. The bottom line is that McDonnell leads Deeds by 10 points in this poll, 54%-44% and that Deeds is heading in the wrong direction. Markos writes, "With another five point drop in the last six weeks, the only drama here is whether Deeds' horrible campaign drags down Democrats further down the ballot."
Kyle's "triage" strategy appears to be looking better and better...
P.S. Marc Ambinder of The Atlantic has some thoughts on the 2009 Virginia governor's race here ("pre-mortem") and here ("more lessons learned").