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PPP: "McAuliffe Takes Lead in Primary Contest"

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

From Public Policy Polling:
Terry McAuliffe has opened up a double digit lead in the race to become Democratic nominee for Governor of Virginia, although a lot of votes are still up for grabs.

McAuliffe is now at 30% to 20% for Brian Moran and 14% for Creigh Deeds. Moran and Deeds have basically stayed at the same level of support they had in a late March PPP survey, while McAuliffe has vaulted from 18% to 30%.

McAuliffe has developed particularly commanding leads among women, African Americans, and voters describing themselves as liberals.
Great news, a 14-point gain for Terry in one month (with will.i.am, Bill Clinton, and major advertising still to come). I can't wait to hear the Moran people try to spin this one! :)

Meanwhile, in the LG race, PPP reports:
In the race for Lieutenant Governor Jody Wagner continues to lead the pack with 18%, followed by Michael Signer at 7% and Jon Bowerbank with 6%.

Voter interest in that race seems minuscule, with almost 70% still undecided.
In other words, anyone could win the LG race, although Jody's still the favorite at this moment.

UPDATE: More from PPP's blog.
McAuliffe has done a very good job of building up support in areas where none of the candidates have an inherent regional base. He is polling over 35% and has a lead of at least 20 points in the Tidewater region, greater Richmond, and Southside. He's also built a strong lead with African Americans.

[...]

In addition to taking the lead McAuliffe saw a strong increase in his positive name recognition over the last month, going from a 32/29 favorability spread to a 42/25 one. This is where the difference in the candidates' financial resources makes a big difference...