|The other day, I emailed a couple dozen Arlington County elected officials and top politicos for their thoughts on who will win next Tuesday in the County Board Democratic and 45th House of Delegates Democratic primaries. Here are the mean predictions, with a few interesting comments by the politicos. I promised everyone that I would not reveal their identities, to encourage them to respond honestly, so don't even bother asking me. :)With that, first here are the predictions for Arlington County Board. As you can see,Christian Dorsey is the consensus favorite for the top slot, with Peter Fallon and Andrew Schneider battling out for second place, and Katie Cristol barely off the pace in fourth place. The consensus is that James Lander will finish fifth, and all respondents picked Bruce Wiljanen sixth.|
In terms of variability, 12 out of 19 respondents picked Dorsey either first or second; four people picked Peter Fallon first, four picked him second, six picked him third, three picked him fourth, and one picked him fifth; four people picked Andrew Schneider coming in first, five picked him second, three picked him third, five picked him fourth, and one picked him fifth; one person picked Katie Cristol first, six picked her second, four picked her third, four picked her fourth, and four picked her fifth; eleven picked James Lander fifth, five picked him fourth, and two picked him second; everyone picked Bruce Wiljanen sixth.
Here are a few interesting comments jumped out at me.
Top Arlington Politicos Predict County Board, 45th House of Delegates Primary Results
Tuesday, June 2, 2015
Posted by Lowell at 8:38 AM