Tom Perriello at Center for American Progress: "A Creative Middle Path on Iran"

Friday, April 16, 2010

I attended this event at the Center for American Progress yesterday. The featured speaker, starting at about 2:45, was Rep. Tom Perriello (D-5th, VA). I've listed a few key points, after the "flip." Overall, excellent job - thoughtful, articulate, nuanced, wise - by Tom Perriello on an important topic, and yet another example of why he richly deserves to be reelected this November! *"Being tough means doing your homework" *It's a mistake to limit ourselves to "20th century weapons in a 21st century conflict" *Opposition movements in Iran are growing, but the outcome of their efforts is "not inevitable"; *It's a high-tech game of cat and mouse between the Iranian government and the opposition *There's a higher per-capita number of blogs in Farsi than any other language *We now live in an era where the voices of non-state actors have tremendous power" *The surest way to see sanctions backfire is to not be able to control the spin within the country of exactly what's happening" *Legitimacy is crucial in the context of Iranian "regime transition" (as opposed to "regime change") *In addition to sanctions and military force against Iran, both of which remain "on the table," we need to look at creative solutions we haven't thought of yet; what is the "option set" where we can "maximize the upsides and minimize the downsides?" *The nuclear issue is "very serious" and playing out rapidly; strategies that talk about 20- or 30-year culture change are not really ones that will meet the context of how Washington is thinking about the problem. *We need to think about what we can we all do, with legitimacy, to support the courageous Iranian opposition movement and move towards "regime transition" in Iran sooner rather than later. *We need more "open source," Iranian voices rather than just information seen as produced in the US or UK. *The tendency of Congress on foreign policy issues is to write a hawkish, non-binding resolution that accomplishes "little or nothing," but everyone votes for it and feels "tough on national security." *There is, however, "genuine interest" in Congress in supporting Iranian democratic activity, eliminating development of nuclear weapons, doing something about human rights abuses. *There's "some hunger for new ideas," but we are in a "hyperpartisan environment right now." *"Anything that seems less than a march to war will be something that those who are on the other side can take and try to make a political issue out of." *"There is, even among the most hard right and hard left, some understanding that sending in support with a big American flag on it doesn't exactly help the opposition movement on the ground." *To solve this specific problem, it helps to understand the broader context/grand strategic framework, for instance on global nuclear non-proliferation, a real Middle East peace agreement, etc.