Mark Herring released the following statement regarding his lead in the race for Attorney General:"Election Day is over and I am honored to have a majority of Virginians cast their ballots for me for Attorney General. Just before 2 a.m., we took a several hundred vote lead to become the next Attorney General of the Commonwealth of Virginia.UPDATE: Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report tweets: "By my math, Obenshain is likely to net another 700-800 votes from the three outstanding precincts. Herring's current 'true' lead: 358 votes." Thus, he adds: "So, I expect Herring (D) to be 300-500 votes short pre-provisionals. But who knows how many counting errors/uncounted absentees there are." |
lowkell :: Mark Herring Statement On Taking The Majority Of Votes On Election Day |
UPDATE 9:15 am: Bad news. According to Dave Wasserman again, "AP now says Obenshain (R) up by 53 votes after McGaheysville reports 676 votes Obenshain (R), 245 Herring (D)." Also, "Obenshain (R) can expect to gain another 200 in Buchanan Co., ~200 in Mecklenburg & ~100 in Rockbridge, for 500-600 vote lead (2/2)."UPDATE 10:03 am: Geoffrey Skelley of Larry Sabato's "Crystal Ball" tweets: "With Rockbridge precinct counted, AP has Obenshain +144. SBE has remaining PWC precinct Herring +62. So Obenshain +82. Canvass to come." UPDATE 10:17 am: This could very well come down to provisional ballots. In 2008, there were 4,575 of those case in Virginia. Not sure how many this year, but assuming Obenshain's up just 82 votes (or a couple hundred for that matter), there should be way more than enough provisional ballots to determine this race. Democrats need to fight for every single provisional ballot, make sure people aren't disenfranchised, that they have proper ID, etc. Republicans will almost certainly fight for the opposite. This is going to be a battle royale. UPDATE 10:20 am: Attorney and Virginia DNC member Frank Leone tweets "1st count - canvass/provisionals today, prov ID Friday, then certify, then recount." UPDATE 3:53 pm: Not good - Dave Wasserman tweets, "A source close to Fairfax Co. elections office says all absentees there have been tallied. Only ~500 provisionals, will be processed Fri." |
Mark Herring Statement On Taking The Majority Of Votes On Election Day
Wednesday, November 6, 2013
Virginia Election Results 2013: Live Blog
Tuesday, November 5, 2013
UPDATE 6:28 am: With 2555/2558 precincts counted, it's Terry McAuliffe 1,064,016 (47.75%)-Ken Cuccinelli 1,008,596 (45.27%). That's a 2.5 percentage point victory, which is several points under what the polling average indicated heading into election day. What happened? Also, Ralph Northam won by 11 points (55%-44%),which is solid but below what many of us thought the victory margin would be. Sure, "a win's a win" and all that, but the margins at the TOP of the ballot adversely affected a bunch of races for House of Delegates. Ugh. UPDATE 11:54 pm: Mark Obenshain now leads Mark Herring by just over 7,000 votes (0.35%), with 7 precincts remaining to be counted. Sounds like we're talking about a recount here. Stay tuned. On the House of Delegates front, there's really not a lot of good news for Democrats, with several close races apparently being eked out by Republicans (e.g., Bob Marshall over Atif Qarni, David Yancey over Robert Farniholt, David Ramadan apparently edging out John Bell, Tom Rust over Jennifer Boysko by the skin of his teeth, Barbara Comstock barely beating Kathleen Murphy, Tag Greason edging out Elizabeth Miller, Scott Lingamfelter squeaking by Jeremy McPike, and "Sideshow Bob" Marshall beating Atif Qarni by just 3 points. It leaves me wondering what would have happened to all these candidates if Terry McAuliffe had beaten Ken Cuccinelli by the margin all the polls were saying he'd win by - 6 points, 7 points, something like that. My guess is that a bunch of these Dems would have won. Sigh... UPDATE 9:35 pm: Terry McAuliffe has FINALLY taken the lead over Ken Cuccinelli, 46.71%-46.31% (7,520 votes) with 2311/2541 precincts counted. Mark Herring is within 38,000 votes of Mark Obenshain (51%-49%). We're sooooo close to a sweep I can practically taste it. So close, but yet so far? We'll see soon enough. UPDATE 9:30 pm: Of all networks, freakin' FOX just called it for Terry McAuliffe! LOL. In the actual numbers, McAuliffe's behind by 400 votes, but there are a lot more votes outstanding in Fairfax, Norfolk, Portsmouth, Richmond, and Prince William. Congratulations to our next Governor, Terry McAuliffe! :) |
lowkell :: Virginia Election Results 2013: Live Blog |
UPDATE 9:26 pm: In the HoD races, watch the Boysko-Rust race; that one looks like a possible pickup in the making. Also, John Bell is VERY close to knocking off the horrendous David Ramadan, and Monty Mason is leading Mike Watson. Finally, Rob Farinholt could beat David Yancey...very close! Oh, and Michael Futrell could very well knock off Mark Dudenhefer, and Mary Daniel could very well beat Tea Partier Dave LaRock. UPDATE 9:23 pm: I'm livid with my blog hosting company right now, but let's put that aside for the moment. Cuccinelli's leading by about 9,000 votes with 85% counted, but with more than enough outstanding "blue" area votes for Terry to pull it out. The problem is the House of Delegates and Attorney General's race. We'll see, but I'm not pleased right now. UPDATE 9:06 pm: @MysteryPollster tweets: "Our count model for VA now estimates McAuliffe +1.3%, may slightly understate his % (see prev tweets)" UPDATE 9:02 pm: With 80% of the precincts in, it's now Cuccinelli 47%-McAuliffe 46%. Wow. UPDATE 8:56 pm: OK, so that was fun - Soapblox crashed BOTH Blue Virginia AND Blue Jersey in the middle of an election. Great, huh? Anyway, with 1883/2541 (74%) of precincts reporting, it's now Cuccinelli 718,015 (47.35%)-McAuliffe 688,743 (45.42%)- Sarvis 105,187 (6.9%). Still a LOT of precincts outstanding in some blue areas like Fairfax County, Norfolk City, Newport News, Charlottesville and Roanoke City. UPDATE 8:23 pm: With 1411/2541 (55% of precincts) reporting, it's Cuccinelli 524,486 (49.1%)-McAuliffe 467,157 (43.7%)-Sarvis 74,486 (7.0%). UPDATE 8:16 pm: With 1155/2541 reporting, it's Cuccinelli 424,830 (50.2%)-McAuliffe 361,776 (42.7%)-Sarvis 59,877 (7.1%). UPDATE 8:14 pm: @chucktodd tweets, "New NBC News VA GOV projection: now "too close to call"; no longer saying McAuliffe is 'leading.'" Hmmmm...not sure what that's all about exactly. UPDATE 8:12 pm: @chucktodd tweets, "NBC News officially projects Northam in the VA LG race." Congratulations to Virginia's next Lt. Governor Ralph Northam!!! UPDATE 8:03 pm: With 920/2541 precincts reporting, it's Cuccinelli 50.8%-McAuliffe 41.9%-Sarvis 7.0%. Cuccinelli only at 49.6% in "red" Chesterfield, which is not good news for him. Also, it looks to me like when Fairfax comes in, that ALONE should put Terry into the lead. That's not even counting deep blue areas like Richmond City, Newport News, Norfolk, Arlington, Charlottesville, Roanoke, etc. UPDATE 7:58 pm: With 802/2541 precincts reporting, it's Cuccinelli 51.2%-McAuliffe 41.7%-Sarvis 7.1%. As usual in Virginia, it takes seemingly forever for the "blue" areas to really start pouring in, so stay patient. Also, in the LG race, it's Jackson 50.4%-Northam 49.4%. In the AG race, it's Obenshain 56.6%-Herring 43.3%. UPDATE 7:52 pm: With 507/2541 precincts reporting, it's Cuccinelli 52.5%-McAuliffe 40.1%-Sarvis 7.4%. Only 13/239 precincts reporting from Fairfax County, only 4/66 precincts reporting from Richmond City, etc. So again, these results don't mean much. UPDATE 7:42 pm: For what it's worth, with 366/2541 precincts reporting, it's Cuccinelli 54.65%-McAuliffe 37.17%-Sarvis 7.88%. These early returns are basically meaningless, as they include little or nothing from places like Fairfax, Prince William, Loudoun, Arlington, Richmond City, etc. UPDATE 7:34 pm: @PeterHambyCNN tweets: "VA GOP Chairman Pat Mullins unloading Democrats for 'nastiest' campaign, relying on outside money and abortion politics." In other words, somebody call the waaaaambulance for poor Pat Mullins! LOL UPDATE 7:31 pm: @KentonNgo tweets: "One precinct telling a story: Hanover County, Pebble Creek. Cuccinelli running 11 points behind McDonnell 09." Also, @scontorno tweets: "#Vagov exit polls from @nytimes puts Cuccinelli and McAuliffe even with men but McAuliffe +26 among even. Just an astounding gap." UPDATE 7:20 pm: @chucktodd tweets: "3rd wave exit poll data coming in for VA, no big changes though Obama job rating now at 48 instead of 46. Translation: More Dem late voters" Also, NBC says that "Virginia looks more like 2012 than 2009." UPDATE 7:08 pm: CNN's exit poll has Cuccinelli winning white voters 53%-38%, McAuliffe winning African Americans 92%-7%. Overall, CNN's exit poll has it McAuliffe 50%, Cuccinelli 43%, Sarvis 7%. Also, apparently women broke for McAuliffe over Cuccinelli 53%-39%. McAuliffe wins moderates 57%-31%. UPDATE 7:01 pm: Chuck Todd just said that Terry McAuliffe is leading in exit polls, but it's still too early to call the race. NBC News also reports that it's McAuliffe's anti-Cuccinelli message which resonated. |
Virginia Election Results 2013: Live Blog
UPDATE 6:28 am: With 2555/2558 precincts counted, it's Terry McAuliffe 1,064,016 (47.75%)-Ken Cuccinelli 1,008,596 (45.27%). That's a 2.5 percentage point victory, which is several points under what the polling average indicated heading into election day. What happened? Also, Ralph Northam won by 11 points (55%-44%),which is solid but below what many of us thought the victory margin would be. Sure, "a win's a win" and all that, but the margins at the TOP of the ballot adversely affected a bunch of races for House of Delegates. Ugh. UPDATE 11:54 pm: Mark Obenshain now leads Mark Herring by just over 7,000 votes (0.35%), with 7 precincts remaining to be counted. Sounds like we're talking about a recount here. Stay tuned. On the House of Delegates front, there's really not a lot of good news for Democrats, with several close races apparently being eked out by Republicans (e.g., Bob Marshall over Atif Qarni, David Yancey over Robert Farniholt, David Ramadan apparently edging out John Bell, Tom Rust over Jennifer Boysko by the skin of his teeth, Barbara Comstock barely beating Kathleen Murphy, Tag Greason edging out Elizabeth Miller, Scott Lingamfelter squeaking by Jeremy McPike, and "Sideshow Bob" Marshall beating Atif Qarni by just 3 points. It leaves me wondering what would have happened to all these candidates if Terry McAuliffe had beaten Ken Cuccinelli by the margin all the polls were saying he'd win by - 6 points, 7 points, something like that. My guess is that a bunch of these Dems would have won. Sigh... UPDATE 9:35 pm: Terry McAuliffe has FINALLY taken the lead over Ken Cuccinelli, 46.71%-46.31% (7,520 votes) with 2311/2541 precincts counted. Mark Herring is within 38,000 votes of Mark Obenshain (51%-49%). We're sooooo close to a sweep I can practically taste it. So close, but yet so far? We'll see soon enough. UPDATE 9:30 pm: Of all networks, freakin' FOX just called it for Terry McAuliffe! LOL. In the actual numbers, McAuliffe's behind by 400 votes, but there are a lot more votes outstanding in Fairfax, Norfolk, Portsmouth, Richmond, and Prince William. Congratulations to our next Governor, Terry McAuliffe! :) |
lowkell :: Virginia Election Results 2013: Live Blog |
UPDATE 9:26 pm: In the HoD races, watch the Boysko-Rust race; that one looks like a possible pickup in the making. Also, John Bell is VERY close to knocking off the horrendous David Ramadan, and Monty Mason is leading Mike Watson. Finally, Rob Farinholt could beat David Yancey...very close! Oh, and Michael Futrell could very well knock off Mark Dudenhefer, and Mary Daniel could very well beat Tea Partier Dave LaRock. UPDATE 9:23 pm: I'm livid with my blog hosting company right now, but let's put that aside for the moment. Cuccinelli's leading by about 9,000 votes with 85% counted, but with more than enough outstanding "blue" area votes for Terry to pull it out. The problem is the House of Delegates and Attorney General's race. We'll see, but I'm not pleased right now. UPDATE 9:06 pm: @MysteryPollster tweets: "Our count model for VA now estimates McAuliffe +1.3%, may slightly understate his % (see prev tweets)" UPDATE 9:02 pm: With 80% of the precincts in, it's now Cuccinelli 47%-McAuliffe 46%. Wow. UPDATE 8:56 pm: OK, so that was fun - Soapblox crashed BOTH Blue Virginia AND Blue Jersey in the middle of an election. Great, huh? Anyway, with 1883/2541 (74%) of precincts reporting, it's now Cuccinelli 718,015 (47.35%)-McAuliffe 688,743 (45.42%)- Sarvis 105,187 (6.9%). Still a LOT of precincts outstanding in some blue areas like Fairfax County, Norfolk City, Newport News, Charlottesville and Roanoke City. UPDATE 8:23 pm: With 1411/2541 (55% of precincts) reporting, it's Cuccinelli 524,486 (49.1%)-McAuliffe 467,157 (43.7%)-Sarvis 74,486 (7.0%). UPDATE 8:16 pm: With 1155/2541 reporting, it's Cuccinelli 424,830 (50.2%)-McAuliffe 361,776 (42.7%)-Sarvis 59,877 (7.1%). UPDATE 8:14 pm: @chucktodd tweets, "New NBC News VA GOV projection: now "too close to call"; no longer saying McAuliffe is 'leading.'" Hmmmm...not sure what that's all about exactly. UPDATE 8:12 pm: @chucktodd tweets, "NBC News officially projects Northam in the VA LG race." Congratulations to Virginia's next Lt. Governor Ralph Northam!!! UPDATE 8:03 pm: With 920/2541 precincts reporting, it's Cuccinelli 50.8%-McAuliffe 41.9%-Sarvis 7.0%. Cuccinelli only at 49.6% in "red" Chesterfield, which is not good news for him. Also, it looks to me like when Fairfax comes in, that ALONE should put Terry into the lead. That's not even counting deep blue areas like Richmond City, Newport News, Norfolk, Arlington, Charlottesville, Roanoke, etc. UPDATE 7:58 pm: With 802/2541 precincts reporting, it's Cuccinelli 51.2%-McAuliffe 41.7%-Sarvis 7.1%. As usual in Virginia, it takes seemingly forever for the "blue" areas to really start pouring in, so stay patient. Also, in the LG race, it's Jackson 50.4%-Northam 49.4%. In the AG race, it's Obenshain 56.6%-Herring 43.3%. UPDATE 7:52 pm: With 507/2541 precincts reporting, it's Cuccinelli 52.5%-McAuliffe 40.1%-Sarvis 7.4%. Only 13/239 precincts reporting from Fairfax County, only 4/66 precincts reporting from Richmond City, etc. So again, these results don't mean much. UPDATE 7:42 pm: For what it's worth, with 366/2541 precincts reporting, it's Cuccinelli 54.65%-McAuliffe 37.17%-Sarvis 7.88%. These early returns are basically meaningless, as they include little or nothing from places like Fairfax, Prince William, Loudoun, Arlington, Richmond City, etc. UPDATE 7:34 pm: @PeterHambyCNN tweets: "VA GOP Chairman Pat Mullins unloading Democrats for 'nastiest' campaign, relying on outside money and abortion politics." In other words, somebody call the waaaaambulance for poor Pat Mullins! LOL UPDATE 7:31 pm: @KentonNgo tweets: "One precinct telling a story: Hanover County, Pebble Creek. Cuccinelli running 11 points behind McDonnell 09." Also, @scontorno tweets: "#Vagov exit polls from @nytimes puts Cuccinelli and McAuliffe even with men but McAuliffe +26 among even. Just an astounding gap." UPDATE 7:20 pm: @chucktodd tweets: "3rd wave exit poll data coming in for VA, no big changes though Obama job rating now at 48 instead of 46. Translation: More Dem late voters" Also, NBC says that "Virginia looks more like 2012 than 2009." UPDATE 7:08 pm: CNN's exit poll has Cuccinelli winning white voters 53%-38%, McAuliffe winning African Americans 92%-7%. Overall, CNN's exit poll has it McAuliffe 50%, Cuccinelli 43%, Sarvis 7%. Also, apparently women broke for McAuliffe over Cuccinelli 53%-39%. McAuliffe wins moderates 57%-31%. UPDATE 7:01 pm: Chuck Todd just said that Terry McAuliffe is leading in exit polls, but it's still too early to call the race. NBC News also reports that it's McAuliffe's anti-Cuccinelli message which resonated. |
Final PPP Poll: McAuliffe Up by 7; Northam by 13; Herring by 2
Monday, November 4, 2013
*For Lt. Governor, Ralph Northam is beating EW Jackson by 13 points (52%-39%). I find it disturbing that there are 39% of Virginia likely voters who would be willing to vote for this extremist huckster. Should be more like 3.9%. *In the AG's race, Mark Herring's up over Cuccinelli clone Mark Obenshain, but not by much, at 47%-45%. The problem here, in my view, is that a lot of voters STILL don't realize how extreme Obenshain is, in large part because Obenshain's run a campaign that has obfuscated his views/votes (e.g., supporting a bill that would have made miscarriage a crime reportable to the police within 24 hours; supporting "personhood" legislation that would outlaw abortion and many forms of contraception; being anti-environment and anti-background-checks; etc.) and even outright lied about them. All voters need to do to confirm these facts is about 15 minutes of using Google. But will they? If they do, then Obenshain should by all rights lose tomorrow by as large a margin as E.W. Jackson. *Neither Cuccinelli nor McAuliffe are popular, to put it mildly, with both seriously "underwater" in their favorability ratings. But, as PPP explains: "among voters who dislike both candidates- and they account for 15% of the electorate- McAuliffe leads Cuccinelli 61/16. Those voters who don't like either major party standard bearer are responsible for McAuliffe's entire lead in this poll." *If Bill Bolling had run as an independent, it actually would have cut into Terry's margin, with the final results being McAuliffe 34%-Cuccinelli 32%-Bolling 22%. Of course, if Bolling had actually run a campaign, voters would have found out that he's just as conservative in most ways as Cuccinelli, so that probably would have changed. *I'd say this sample is a bit too Democratic leaning (50% say they voted for Obama last year; 45% for Romney), but I guess we'll find out tomorrow. It's also probably a bit too female-leaning, with a 56%-44% female/male breakout in the electorate. I'd say it will be closer to 52% female, but again we'll see. *There's a "gender gap" in this poll, but not as large as in a number of others, with women favoring McAuliffe by 11 points (51%-40%) and men supporting him by 1 point (47%-46%). In the Washington Post poll, Cuccinelli trailed by 24 points (!) among women, while leading by 1 points among men. P.S. I don't take Zogby seriously, and certainly not when it's paired with the crazy "Newsmax," but just for completeness purposes, they've got Terry up 12 points and "Headed for Big Win" tomorrow. Question: which "poll" is more ridiculous - Zogby, Roanoke College, or Emerson College? |
Photos, Video: 1,600 Rally with President Obama for VA Democratic Ticket in Arlington
Sunday, November 3, 2013
P.P.S. I urge everyone to compare and contrast the mainstream, sane, constructive leaders speaking in THIS rally with the extreme, loony-tunes, destructive demagogues and bigots (e.g., Mark Levin, Ron Paul) appearing at Cuccinelli's rallies in the closing days of this campaign. It's truly instructive. |
lowkell :: Photos, Video: 1,600 Rally with President Obama for VA Democratic Ticket in Arlington |
A loooong line of people wait to go through security for the rally this afternoon in Arlington with President Obama and the Virginia Democratic ticket. Here they are INSIDE the school. |
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Audio: EW Jackson on Gays, "Being Black," and Baking Cakes
Saturday, November 2, 2013
E.W. Jackson, from yesterday's Politics Hour with Kojo Nnamdi and Tom Sherwood:Here is what I have a problem with. I think that there has been an attempt to try to equate homosexuality with being black, or being American...an American of African descent. You cannot equate the two. Because one is an immutable outward characteristic which allows discrimination upon the mere visual inspection of a person; seeing them. The other is a matter of behavior, and where behavior is involved, people have to make judgments about how they feel about that behavior......If you own a bakery, as happened out in Seattle, and you bake cakes for people, and a couple comes in and says, look we're a homosexual couple, we're getting married, we want you to bake a wedding cake for us, see that's behavior. Now,do you force that bakery...you've gotta back this cake for this gay couple, we don't care what you think? Or do you allow them the freedom to say you know, I'll bake...any other kind of cake, but my own convictions prevent me from doing what you've asked me to do? See, that's very different than a black person walking into the bakery and saying will you bake me a cake, and the person saying, no I'm not going to bake you a cake because you're black.So, by this "reasoning," what if a bakery owner belongs to a religion that "believes" black people (or Jews or Muslims or any other group of people) are bad, "unclean," whatever? Should they not have to bake a cake for them either (or serve them in their restaurant, retail establishment, hotel, etc.)? I'm simply not following E.W. Jackson's "reasoning" here, maybe someone can help me out. Also, in what way is homosexuality just some sort of "behavior," as opposed to a deeply ingrained, even "immutable," characteristic, just like being attracted to members of the opposite sex (aka, "heterosexuality") or even race (which is largely a construct, as basically NOBODY is purely of one "race" or another - except for the HUMAN race, of course - and everyone has a wide mix of genetic material from hundreds of thousands if not millions of years of ancestors)? Finally, how should personal religious beliefs mix in a society that is governed by a secular constitution, the rule of (civil) law, and NOT by religious law? On all of those areas, I believe that E.W. Jackson is extremely (emphasis on "extreme") confused. |
Graphic: Virginia Political TV Ad Spending As We Near Election Day
Friday, November 1, 2013
Great job by VPAP collecting this data and summarizing in graphics (click to "embiggen"). The bottom line is that Terry McAuliffe is utterly swamping Ken Cuccinelli on TV as election 2013 winds to its close. In the AG's race, Mark Obenshain and Mark Herring are spending about equal amounts on TV, but Herring is dominating Obenshain in spending by outside groups on his behalf. On Tuesday, we'll find out how effective all of this turned out to be. Stay tuned... |
A Virginia Polling Day as Bizarre and Wacky as This Bizarre and Wacky Campaign!
Wednesday, October 30, 2013
2. Quinnipiac poll (10/22-10/28): McAuliffe up 4 points (45%-41%), with Sarvis at 9%. Generally speaking, Q-Polls are pretty good, but this one did some funky things, like made the male-female split 50/50, which is almost certainly not going to happen. They also seriously tweaked the GOP/Dem breakdown - in the direction of the GOP - since their last poll a week ago. Not sure what to make of any of that, but it shows the race tightening a bit, and Cuccinelli's fixating on this poll and trying to make the most of his "Mitt-mentum!" LOL 3. Roanoke College "poll" (10/21-10/27): I put "poll" in quotes because this outfit has a track record of being wildly all over the place, with a strong Republican skew to boot. Yet somehow they have McAuliffe up 15 points (46%-31%), which can't possibly be true. So weird. They've got Sarvis at 9%, which at least makes sense. Remember, Roanoke College "polls" had Kaine and Obama both DOWN five points in Virginia just days before last year's election (which Kaine and Obama both won); showed a 15-point swing towards Romney and Allen in Virginia during October 2012; and was ranked by Nate Silver as the 6th worst "poll" in the entire country (out of about 90 polls), with an "average error" and pro-GOP "bias" of 8.1 points each. So keep all that in mind when considering these "poll" results, whether they show the "blue team" up or down. 4. Hampton University poll (10/26-10/27): Has McAuliffe up 6 points (42%-36%), with Sarvis at 12%. I'm really not sure what to make of Hampton U. polls, but I'm leaning strongly towards "not much." I mean, these top lines just don't make much sense - Northam up only 6 points over E.W. Jackson? No way. Also, last month's Hampton poll had Jackson UP over Northam 39%-38%. That's even LESS likely, bordering on delusional. As a political friend of mine and I were chatting about a little while ago, there are a ton of small colleges and universities out there that like doing polls, as they're fairly inexpensive and reliably get the college's/university's name in the news. As an added bonsu, the college/university can also claim the polls are educational for their students. The problem is, most of them are crap. Like this one, as far as I can tell. 5. Rasmussen Reports poll (10/28-10/29): Speaking of crap, there's always Republican hack "pollster" Rasmussen, which incredibly had McAuliffe up an implausible 17 points in its last poll. Anyway, they now have it at a 7-point lead for T-Mac (McAuliffe 43%, Cuccinelli 36%, Sarvis 12%), thus a 10-point narrowing in a week. Yeah, well, it's Republican Rasmussen Reports, so what else would we expect but weird and wacky? So where does that leave us? Well, probably the best thing is to stick with an average, like Real Clear Politics, which has McAuliffe up 9.1 points, not counting the Roanoke +15, the Hampton +6, or the Rasmussen +7. Got that? ;) Oh, and keep in mind that Cuccinelli hasn't led in a poll since late spring/early summer, and that McAuliffe's campaign has supposedly built a superb GOTV operation. Still, the key is who shows up, so make sure you remind everyone you know to vote on Tuesday, for the entire Democratic ticket of course. :) |
Top 10 Reasons Why Virginians Shouldn't Even CONSIDER Voting for Mark Obenshain
(UPDATE: Also see Va. AG candidate Mark Obenshain is Cuccinelli's clone - the truth really hurts! - promoted by lowkell) 2. He's a raging homophobe: In 2010, Obenshain voted against adding sexual orientation to current anti-discrimination policies in Virginia state government hiring. In 2013, Obenshain voted against prohibiting state agencies from discriminating against job applicants or employees based on their sexual orientation. In January 2013, he walked out of the Virginia Senate chamber rather than voting on the judicial nomination of an openly gay former prosecutor. In 2004, he voted in committee (along with - guess who? - Ken Cuccinelli) against overturning Virginia's "ban on sodomy between consenting adults." We could go on all day, but you get the picture. In today's world, being a homophobe should be an automatic disqualifier, of course, for anyone seeking public office. End of story. 3. He's an anti-choice extremist when it comes to women's reproductive freedom. In 2009, he sponsored a bill to require women to report miscarriages to police within 24 hours or risk going to prison. In 2012, he voted for the infamous "transvaginal ultrasound" mandate. In 2009, 2010, and 2011, he introduced amendments to prohibit state funding for "any organization providing abortion or abortion counseling services." In 2007 and 2011, he sponsored "personhood" bills to "extend constitutionally guaranteed rights to the unborn from the moment of conception." That would effectively criminalize all abortions, as well as many forms of contraception, embryonic stem cell research, and possibly in vitro fertilization. Crazy stuff. 4. He's against open, transparent government. In 2006, he voted in committee against prohibiting "gifts from lobbyists and other persons to General Assembly members during regular legislative sessions." In 2012, he voted in committee to kill a bill to "require that the state budget be available to the public for at least 72 hours prior to a vote on it." In February 2013, he voted in committee to allow state legislators to continue to be compensated "for attending conferences for which the agenda and materials are not available to the public." And last but not least, in 2011, he voted in support of allowing Virginia's attorney general to use subpoena power "to investigate areas of academic inquiry and research."
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